Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030549 0.033321 0.036057 0.038955 0.041933 0.044899 0.048073
2024-12-15 0.025445 0.029950 0.034510 0.039444 0.044611 0.049844 0.055524
2024-12-22 0.020936 0.026527 0.032316 0.038697 0.045481 0.052438 0.060071
2024-12-29 0.017891 0.024285 0.031043 0.038608 0.046749 0.055176 0.064495
2025-01-05 0.015206 0.022178 0.029702 0.038247 0.047542 0.057243 0.068043
2025-01-12 0.012797 0.020181 0.028323 0.037701 0.048007 0.058843 0.070977
2025-01-19 0.010156 0.017713 0.026272 0.036290 0.047422 0.059220 0.072510
2025-01-26 0.009205 0.017164 0.026332 0.037166 0.049282 0.062180 0.076756
2025-02-02 0.007909 0.016093 0.025721 0.037230 0.050195 0.064065 0.079798
2025-02-09 0.006263 0.014447 0.024355 0.036372 0.050032 0.064732 0.081477
2025-02-16 0.005355 0.013680 0.023986 0.036617 0.051064 0.066672 0.084503
2025-02-23 0.004354 0.012696 0.023303 0.036459 0.051610 0.068049 0.086888
2025-03-02 0.003252 0.011556 0.022515 0.036314 0.052338 0.069815 0.089915
2025-03-09 0.002438 0.010762 0.022161 0.036707 0.053722 0.072361 0.093861
2025-03-16 0.001375 0.009320 0.020895 0.035965 0.053773 0.073400 0.096131
2025-03-23 0.000728 0.008374 0.020209 0.035876 0.054539 0.075204 0.099211
2025-03-30 0.000217 0.007350 0.019344 0.035524 0.054965 0.076597 0.101806
2025-04-06 NaN 0.006307 0.018372 0.034993 0.055147 0.077686 0.104038
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004919 0.016777 0.033619 0.054298 0.077577 0.104908
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004725 0.016949 0.034472 0.056064 0.080417 0.109043
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004175 0.016522 0.034534 0.056873 0.082152 0.111928
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003272 0.015435 0.033700 0.056585 0.082616 0.113374
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002893 0.015181 0.033938 0.057568 0.084518 0.116414